I am not sure of a time when I
drew an incorrect conclusion based observations. However, people commonly do
this when they play the “guessing game”. You know, those games where you have
to guess how many gumballs are in a bowl for a prize, or other games similar to
that. A lot of people guess incorrectly because they just randomly guess rather
than thinking in scientific terms to come up with an answer. This can be determined
by determining the volume of the jar and seeing how many can fit. Or you can weigh
the jar’s weight and the candy and then divide the jar’s weight by the candy
weight. While this takes time, if you always want to win prizes at the fair
this would be a reliable way. Of course,
there are more practical things that people can draw incorrect conclusions if
relying solely on observations. That is why if you have an observation that
leads you to a conclusion, be sure to test it out and see if it works.
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